Phase 1 results

so far I have 3 surveys back (my minimum), and imposed a deadline of May 20 to get the remaining ones back. I'm holding out hope for Paul Whitefield (NPS natural resource jack of all trades)and Monica McTeague (who did the veg map). I never really got firm, specific commitments from NRCS folks....but who knows.

I have 2 USGS people: Kathryn Thomas, Kirsten Ironside,
and a retired NPS guy that did his master's in Wupatki in the late 80's, Steve Cinnamon. Everybody had good new insights. Kirsten actually reran future climate sims to answer a question which was extra credit.

So far, the USGS folks are cautious in their confidence (around 50%), and more likely to provide additions to the model. I think this process will have a tendency to make models more complicated rather than more simple...not necessarily a problem...just an observation since I will now add a new state (woodland), and a new phase to state 1 (shrubland).